Why Trevor Lawrence should (but ultimately won’t) win the Heisman Trophy

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - DECEMBER 28: Quarterback Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Clemson Tigers drops back to pass during the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl against the Ohio State Buckeyes at State Farm Stadium on December 28, 2019 in Glendale, Arizona. The Tigers defeated the Buckeyes 29-23. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
GLENDALE, ARIZONA - DECEMBER 28: Quarterback Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Clemson Tigers drops back to pass during the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl against the Ohio State Buckeyes at State Farm Stadium on December 28, 2019 in Glendale, Arizona. The Tigers defeated the Buckeyes 29-23. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /
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Trevor Lawrence, Clemson football
Trevor Lawrence, Clemson football /

Why Trevor Lawrence ultimately won’t win the Heisman

As much as we want to see Trevor Lawrence win the Heisman and as much as we all know that he is a deserving candidate who could make Clemson football history, there are two mitigating factors that go against him winning the award and they’re pretty simple:

  1. Trevor Lawrence won’t play past the third quarter in any game this season.
  2. The Heisman voters never pick the favorite. They want to be surprised.

We all know that Lawrence isn’t going to play past the third maybe one time this season. If he does, it will be very few times. With no chance to have that ‘Heisman moment’ and the fact that he’ll be hurt by his stats, voters are going to look at other options as we head down the stretch. It’s not fair that they’ll penalize him for winning, but that’s exactly what we’ve seen happen in the past.

In addition, the preseason Heisman favorite almost never wins the award. Perhaps the last time that happened was Marcus Mariota.

More times than not, the Heisman voters want to be surprised. They’re wooed by narratives and stories. They love the guys who come out of nowhere – Kyler Murray and Joe Burrow, for example- and take the CFB world by storm.

Next. Final Projected Depth Chart for 2020 season. dark

They’re going to be looking for that guy and, in the end, that will be the difference in Trevor Lawrence winning a Heisman or walking away without the Trophy.