Why Trevor Lawrence should (but ultimately won’t) win the Heisman Trophy
Why Trevor Lawrence ultimately won’t win the Heisman
As much as we want to see Trevor Lawrence win the Heisman and as much as we all know that he is a deserving candidate who could make Clemson football history, there are two mitigating factors that go against him winning the award and they’re pretty simple:
- Trevor Lawrence won’t play past the third quarter in any game this season.
- The Heisman voters never pick the favorite. They want to be surprised.
We all know that Lawrence isn’t going to play past the third maybe one time this season. If he does, it will be very few times. With no chance to have that ‘Heisman moment’ and the fact that he’ll be hurt by his stats, voters are going to look at other options as we head down the stretch. It’s not fair that they’ll penalize him for winning, but that’s exactly what we’ve seen happen in the past.
In addition, the preseason Heisman favorite almost never wins the award. Perhaps the last time that happened was Marcus Mariota.
More times than not, the Heisman voters want to be surprised. They’re wooed by narratives and stories. They love the guys who come out of nowhere – Kyler Murray and Joe Burrow, for example- and take the CFB world by storm.
They’re going to be looking for that guy and, in the end, that will be the difference in Trevor Lawrence winning a Heisman or walking away without the Trophy.