The Clemson Tigers enter Saturday’s 7:30 p.m. game at Boston College as a 14.5-point favorite, marking the fourth time in six games that Dabo Swinney’s squad has been a double-digit favorite.
Clemson’s only covered one of those spreads, last week’s 38-10 victory over a putrid North Carolina team. It was only the second cover in the last seven games that the Tigers were favored by at least 10 points.
They face the same situation against a Boston College team that’s only won once this season and is 2-3 against the spread. This is the first week the Eagles have been a double-digit underdog. Dealing with a rash of injuries, they’re coming off a 48-7 loss at Pittsburgh (-6.5) in Week 6.
Spread history
The Tigers opened the week as a 12.5-point favorite, but the line quickly moved to 13.5 by Sunday afternoon, and it crossed over two touchdowns as the week went along. BC’s injury issues likely contributed to the Eagles becoming an even bigger underdog.
A few sportsbooks even flashed a 15-point spread. As of Saturday morning, 14.5 was the consensus. DraftKings did have it at -14, but bettors looking to get below two touchdowns were out of luck.
Betting insight
DraftKings reported that 65% of the money has come in on the Tigers. Clemson’s also seen 78% of the bets this week. The moneyline handle has been even more one-sided, with Clemson getting 96% of the money to win outright with high odds of -650.
The total of 54.5 points, however, is split at DraftKings, where 69% of the handle is on the under, while 64% of the money is on the over.
Betting analysis
As disappointing as the Tigers have been in 2025, last week’s 38-10 win over North Carolina displayed what the former ACC favorite is capable of doing, especially offensively.
Boston College’s health issues are still a major problem, as is the team’s confidence after getting dismantled last week at Pitt. Those two combined are likely why Clemson began and has remained such a big favorite.
BC’s defense has really struggled against the pass and has given up 11 touchdowns through the air, tied for 113th nationally. Cade Klubnik and the Tigers’ passing game should thrive enough to get above that spread, but the Clemson defense is the key to keeping it there and might be harder to trust.
Still, betting the Tigers to cover is a much safer option than a banged up BC right now.
Best bet (1-4)
Boston College has allowed every FBS opponent its faced this season to rush for at least 118 yards. The Eagles defense ranks 127th in rushing EPA. This could be a big game for Clemson running back Adam Randall.
FanDuel lists his rushing total at 68.5 yards, a number he’s eclipsed in three of his five games. Last week, he went off in the passing game, but on the road at night in cooler conditions, the Tigers are going to rely heavily on Randall running. The best bet is over 68.5 rushing yards.