Clemson Football: Updated Win Probabilities for remaining games

Nov 12, 2022; Clemson, South Carolina, USA; Clemson linebacker Barrett Carter (0) reacts after sacking Louisville quarterback Brock Dormann (19) during the third quarter at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, South Carolina Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2022; Clemson, South Carolina, USA; Clemson linebacker Barrett Carter (0) reacts after sacking Louisville quarterback Brock Dormann (19) during the third quarter at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, South Carolina Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022. Mandatory Credit: Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports /
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Coming off of an impressive performance against Louisville, one would think the win probabilities for Clemson football in its remaining games would have gone up, but that’s not what happened in all cases.

There’s also an additional game on the schedule now that North Carolina and superstar quarterback Drake Maye have clinched the Coastal.

Here are the remaining games and the Tigers win probabilities as calculated by ESPNs FPI.

Apparently, the FPI was more impressed by Miami’s win over Georgia Tech than Clemson’s as this actually went down by over a full percent.

Miami has allowed 45 points three times in 10 games this season, including once to Middle Tennessee State, another time to Duke and most recently to Florida State.

Clemson is a 19-point favorite at home, where the Tigers have won 38 straight and last loss over 6 years ago.

South Carolina struggled mightily against an average Florida Gator team, has the juggernaut of Tennessee coming this week and then has to face Clemson in Death Valley.  Yikes.

That said, the Gamecocks may finally feel that they have a chance to get the Tigers this season and it would be doubly satisfying to end the nations longest home winning streak if that’s still a thing when the game rolls around.

I’ll admit that this one surprises me a good bit, thinking that it’s really high on Clemson and low on North Carolina.  Don’t get me wrong, the Tigers should be favored, but as we sit here today, I’m surprised that the FPI believes Clemson would win almost three out of four times on a neutral field against a team as explosive as North Carolina.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change

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